Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.057569 0.065418 0.073558 0.082598 0.092327 0.102453 0.113761
2025-03-09 0.041309 0.052130 0.064072 0.078088 0.093946 0.111203 0.131273
2025-03-16 0.030602 0.042744 0.056949 0.074446 0.095089 0.118361 0.146278
2025-03-23 0.025936 0.039426 0.055968 0.077117 0.102844 0.132584 0.169028
2025-03-30 0.022032 0.036337 0.054667 0.078896 0.109163 0.144897 0.189459
2025-04-06 0.019625 0.034783 0.054954 0.082362 0.117336 0.159317 0.212379
2025-04-13 0.016262 0.031385 0.052408 0.081858 0.120314 0.167287 0.227497
2025-04-20 0.015339 0.031376 0.054326 0.087115 0.130555 0.184193 0.253535
2025-04-27 0.012449 0.027938 0.051122 0.085242 0.131415 0.189321 0.265099
2025-05-04 0.011311 0.027130 0.051565 0.088252 0.138601 0.202387 0.286512
2025-05-11 0.009435 0.024781 0.049500 0.087578 0.140769 0.209009 0.299876
2025-05-18 0.008456 0.023869 0.049510 0.089777 0.146757 0.220525 0.319429
2025-05-25 0.007524 0.023035 0.049766 0.092614 0.154073 0.234391 0.342838
2025-06-01 0.005651 0.019966 0.046165 0.089590 0.153241 0.237658 0.352891
2025-06-08 0.004075 0.017064 0.042491 0.086172 0.151645 0.239787 0.361426
2025-06-15 0.003613 0.016634 0.043057 0.089286 0.159360 0.254394 0.386243
2025-06-22 0.003082 0.015884 0.042958 0.091300 0.165480 0.266892 0.408397
2025-06-29 0.002807 0.015758 0.043985 0.095124 0.174275 0.283085 0.435517
2025-07-06 0.002163 0.014336 0.042396 0.094577 0.176580 0.290413 0.450984
2025-07-13 0.002129 0.014831 0.044592 0.100344 0.188332 0.310800 0.483877
2025-07-20 0.001519 0.013127 0.042200 0.098292 0.188302 0.314901 0.495132
2025-07-27 0.001351 0.012963 0.042958 0.101591 0.196370 0.330283 0.521528
2025-08-03 0.000986 0.011787 0.041432 0.100853 0.198234 0.336992 0.536317